Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.254803 0.272654 0.291559 0.313144 0.337193 0.363269 0.393819
2025-02-23 0.219877 0.246320 0.276350 0.313346 0.358219 0.411585 0.480942
2025-03-02 0.193866 0.224358 0.260781 0.308307 0.369962 0.449165 0.562036
2025-03-09 0.175557 0.208245 0.248843 0.304301 0.380356 0.484791 0.646678
2025-03-16 0.161427 0.195251 0.238590 0.300059 0.388421 0.517073 0.732608
2025-03-23 0.153586 0.189217 0.236249 0.305453 0.409751 0.571160 0.865560
2025-03-30 0.143780 0.179550 0.227819 0.300849 0.415029 0.600600 0.964155
2025-04-06 0.133692 0.168649 0.216612 0.290740 0.410002 0.611571 1.030666
2025-04-13 0.124944 0.158969 0.206320 0.280856 0.403818 0.619054 1.091907
2025-04-20 0.120633 0.155184 0.204156 0.283119 0.417811 0.665145 1.252761
2025-04-27 0.117534 0.152875 0.203901 0.288225 0.437174 0.725140 1.472560
2025-05-04 0.113580 0.149052 0.201044 0.288721 0.448194 0.770507 1.676922
2025-05-11 0.108894 0.144024 0.196201 0.285797 0.453153 0.805675 1.877703
2025-05-18 0.104674 0.139508 0.191925 0.283570 0.459421 0.846064 2.126303
2025-05-25 0.100160 0.134319 0.186267 0.278442 0.459304 0.871710 2.344767
2025-06-01 0.096311 0.129949 0.181645 0.274740 0.461595 0.904070 2.620219
2025-06-08 0.092762 0.125864 0.177231 0.271010 0.463295 0.935446 2.925281
2025-06-15 0.091116 0.124632 0.177374 0.275614 0.483520 1.023052 3.625319
2025-06-22 0.087982 0.120913 0.173164 0.271651 0.484083 1.054490 4.061544
2025-06-29 0.084190 0.116007 0.166721 0.262952 0.472771 1.047341 4.242518
2025-07-06 0.080649 0.111381 0.160562 0.254429 0.461036 1.036746 4.398223
2025-07-13 0.079149 0.109964 0.159796 0.256381 0.474410 1.111416 5.390592
2025-07-20 0.078140 0.109289 0.160257 0.260785 0.494411 1.216478 7.040708